Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000150 0.000166 0.000183 0.000203 0.000225 0.000249 0.000278
2025-08-24 0.000118 0.000141 0.000167 0.000200 0.000240 0.000288 0.000349
2025-08-31 0.000097 0.000122 0.000153 0.000193 0.000246 0.000313 0.000406
2025-09-07 0.000085 0.000112 0.000146 0.000194 0.000259 0.000347 0.000474
2025-09-14 0.000077 0.000105 0.000143 0.000197 0.000275 0.000385 0.000554
2025-09-21 0.000069 0.000097 0.000135 0.000194 0.000281 0.000408 0.000613
2025-09-28 0.000061 0.000088 0.000126 0.000186 0.000279 0.000420 0.000656
2025-10-05 0.000057 0.000084 0.000124 0.000189 0.000292 0.000455 0.000739
2025-10-12 0.000054 0.000082 0.000124 0.000193 0.000308 0.000496 0.000838
2025-10-19 0.000050 0.000077 0.000119 0.000190 0.000312 0.000518 0.000904
2025-10-26 0.000047 0.000074 0.000118 0.000193 0.000325 0.000556 0.001005
2025-11-02 0.000044 0.000070 0.000114 0.000191 0.000330 0.000578 0.001079
2025-11-09 0.000041 0.000067 0.000110 0.000190 0.000337 0.000609 0.001176
2025-11-16 0.000038 0.000063 0.000106 0.000187 0.000340 0.000632 0.001263
2025-11-23 0.000035 0.000059 0.000101 0.000181 0.000337 0.000643 0.001325
2025-11-30 0.000033 0.000056 0.000098 0.000181 0.000346 0.000679 0.001447
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000184 0.000361 0.000729 0.001609
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000181 0.000363 0.000750 0.001706
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000049 0.000089 0.000174 0.000356 0.000753 0.001759
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000048 0.000089 0.000176 0.000369 0.000801 0.001933
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000180 0.000387 0.000862 0.002151
2026-01-11 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000178 0.000389 0.000887 0.002276
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000044 0.000086 0.000180 0.000403 0.000942 0.002492